Living in Northwestern Ohio, I realize our whole area can't be defined as either a clear majority of "Democrat or Republican". Lucas County does have the largest number of voters and it is assumed it is more Democrat with the majority of voters living in Toledo. The surrounding Counties have less voters in number but tend to vote Republican in election results.
So, I decided to do a little research. Below are the numbers from 2004 for the Presidential Race and Senator. Then I included the 2002 numbers for the Governor's Race and the 2000 numbers for President and Senator. This doesn't mean I'm predicting who will win, but it does mean that so much attention gets placed on where Bush or Kerry won when if you look at the rest of the numbers, Voinovich won Lucas County so did Taft and in 2000 Dewine won in Lucas County. If you look at the numbers for the Senate races even in Lucas County the Republican Senator got more votes than the Republican Presidential candidate, which was the same in the majority of counties in NW Ohio. So it's not quite the clear blue/red division some are trying to make it out to be and it's a little more involved than how a Presidential candidate did.
Lucas: Kerry 132,651---Bush 87,146
Fingerhut: 90,250---Voinovich: 121,535
Hagan: 49,648---Taft: 76,572
Gore: 108,344---Bush: 73,342
Celeste: 74,682---DeWine: 89,753
Fulton: Kerry: 8,224---Bush: 13,640
Fingerhut: 5,039---Voinovich: 16,342
Hagan: 2,995---Taft: 9,600
Gore: 6,805---Bush: 11,546
Celeste: 4,799---DeWine: 13,007
Hancock: Kerry: 10,352---Bush: 25,105
Fingerhut: 7,096---Voinovich: 27,626
Hagan: 4,151---Taft: 15,757
Gore: 8,798---Bush: 20,985
Celeste: 6,384---DeWine: 22,337
Henry: Kerry: 5,111---Bush: 9,902
Fingerhut: 3,299---Voinovich: 11,628
Hagan: 2,069---Taft: 6,814
Gore: 4,367---Bush: 8,530
Celeste: 3,124---DeWine: 9,361
Defiance: Kerry: 6,975---Bush: 11,397
Fingerhut: 5,279---Voinovich: 12,778
Hagan: 3,225---Taft: 7,049
Gore: 6,175---Bush: 9,540
Celeste: 5,070---DeWine: 10,133
Paulding: Kerry: 3,610---Bush: 6,206
Fingerhut: 3,134---Voinovich: 6,385
Hagan: 1,939---Taft: 3,972
Gore: 3,384---Bush: 5,210
Celeste: 2,973---DeWine: 5,175
Putnum: Kerry: 4,392---Bush: 14,370
Fingerhut: 3,794---Voinovich: 14,671
Hagan: 3,110---Taft: 8,592
Gore: 4,063---Bush: 12,837
Celeste: 3,616---DeWine: 12,714
VanWert: Kerry: 4,095---Bush: 10,678
Fingerhut: 3,721---Voinovich: 10,697
Hagan: 2,085---Taft: 6,561
Gore: 4,209---Bush: 8,679
Celeste: 3,416---DeWine: 8,954
Williams: Kerry: 6,481---Bush: 12,040
Fingerhut: 4,503---Voinovich: 13,563
Hagan: 2,967---Taft: 7,731
Gore: 5,454---Bush: 9,941
Celeste: 3,980---DeWine: 10,820
Wood: Kerry: 29,401---Bush: 33,592
Fingerhut: 19,641---Voinovich: 41,821
Hagan: 11,521---Taft: 25,172
Gore: 22,687---Bush: 27,504
Celeste: 16,333---DeWine: 32,097
This post at Buckeye State Blog is what "inspired" the research for this post. I don't agree with his perception that North Ohio is more liberal, NEO might be but NW Ohio is different than NEO.
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4 comments:
NW Ohio is 'more liberal' only because of the heavy Democratic vote in Toledo. The burbs, nearly all white, vote the GOP ticket.
Too bad that they thought Taft and Bush would have been the better choice. I guess that voting the party is more important than voting for the better candidate.
That's my point, NW Ohio is more than just Lucas County or Toledo. Which is why I wanted to look at the numbers. Kerry did better than Gore, yet it's obvious some of those who voted for both Kerry and Gore voted for Voinovich and DeWine. So NW Ohio is not more "liberal" at all if you look at the total picture of NW Ohio rather than just focusing on Toledo. So I disagree with those who label this area the same as NEO, we have a different political make up.
Lisa - presidential politics is much different than governor or even senator. In 2004, we knew that Bush had to have 40% in Lucas County, combined with increases in vote totals in the traditionally Republican counties in NWO.
That was one race. The senate and governor races have their own uniqueness - they're "our" candidates and they're viewed much differently than someone from another state running for president. Party politics seems to override just about everything in a presidential race, but is less important than the person in state-wide races.
That being said, all politics is local and people vote for those they like - overcoming party labels. That's why sometimes Republicans actually win in Lucas County.
Maggie, that's what I was trying to additionally point out, that the results of a Presidential race did not make one area "liberal" or "conservative" for that matter.
Nor should it be assumed that all of Northwestern Ohio votes the same as Toledo or Lucas County.
It appears there are many voters who may register Democrat or Republican but will vote for either when it comes to the general election especially for State candidates. That to me is the way it should be with person you believe in has the best plan and demonstrates they have the ability to follow thru on that plan they should be the choice.
:-)
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